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美伊拉锯战消磨民众信心 特朗普支持率跌至任期谷底_我的网站

楚乔传

一 |     The cost of health coverage through work jumped this year, in part because of inflation, according to a survey of U.S. employers.Premiums for both family and single plans climbed 7% after barely rising in 2022, according to a report Wednesday by KFF, a nonprofit that researches health care issues.Later this fall, companies begin their annual coverage enrollment window for 2024, and health care experts say another price hike could be coming.“It’s hard to imagine that there won’t be another year of health care cost increases, at least at the level we’re seeing right now,” said Paul Fronstin, director of health benefits research for the Employee Benefit Research Institute.Employer-sponsored health insurance is the most common form of coverage in the United States. KFF says almost 153 million Americans have it. Companies generally pay most of the premium — 70% or more in many cases.That can soften the impact of price hikes on employees. Coverage costs also are taken out of paychecks before taxes, which helps mitigate the financial pinch workers may feel, noted Fronstin, who was not involved in the KFF study.KFF noted that premiums climbed roughly with wages and inflation. The wider economy has felt those two pressures for more than a year, and now they are starting to affect health care costs, said Gary Claxton, a senior vice president with KFF. He noted that there can be a delay because health care contracts can keep costs stable after prices start rising in other parts of the economy.Fronstin said health care provider consolidation also can drive up care costs, which ultimately affects premiums. He also thinks the U.S. health care system — with its limited capacity to treat people — is still catching up on providing care that was delayed during the COVID-19 pandemic.“There’s only so much room for catch up,” he said. “I don’t believe colonoscopy centers are running 24/7 to catch up.”___The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group. The AP is solely responsible for all content.。      本周一,路透社与益普索联合民调显示,美国民众对美伊战争的支持率已下滑至美伊冲突爆发初期以来的最低点,这也令特朗普的民调支持率持续处于历史低位。  这项为期四天的民调显示,仅有31%的美国人支持美国对伊朗采取军事行动,不仅低于今年3月份美伊冲突爆发初期的37%,也低于本月早些时候的34%。  民众对美国对伊军事行动的支持率下跌,主要源于认同共和党的民众对这场冲突的支持出现明显下滑。在支持共和党的受访者中,目前有69%支持战事,而3月该比例为77%。  今年以来,美伊战争持续拖累特朗普的公众声望。在最近的连续两轮民调中,都仅有33%的受访者认可特朗普的执政表现,创下特朗普两届任期以来的最低民调支持率纪录。image  美以两国于2月28日发起对伊朗打击。在当时,特朗普向美国民众声称,这场战争是阻止伊朗研发核武器的必要之举。尽管近几个月冲突烈度有所降温,但伊朗实际上仍然维持对霍尔木兹海峡石油航运通道的封锁,推动美国汽油价格逼近历史高位。

二 |   对持久战的担忧  从目前的情况来看,美伊之间的矛盾短期内似乎仍无法解决。  近日,特朗普已经誓言加大对伊朗的经济施压,美国财政部长贝森特本周一已宣布,有可能扩大针对与伊朗开展贸易国家的制裁,但并未实际落地相关惩罚措施,这也体现出这场冲突对本届政府而言已经变得十分棘手。

三 |   最新民调显示,有83%的美国民众认为这场战争会“长期持续”,高于本月早些时候的80%。  2024年大选竞选阶段,特朗普曾承诺要管控通胀、避免卷入漫长军事冲突。

四 |   但如今,美伊战争已经打了六个月,美国汽油每加仑价格较战前高出一美元以上。这一局面正给共和党盟友带来压力,使得他们越来越难以在11月3日的中期选举中守住国会微弱多数席位。

五 |   在被问及如果国会选举就在当下举行会如何投票时,受访独立选民更倾向民主党,民主党获支持比例33%,共和党仅19%。  本次民调面向全美1215名美国成年人开展,正负误差幅度为3个百分点。(文章来源:财联社)。

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