
一 | 在近期的国际局势中,俄乌冲突依旧是全球关注的焦点。

二 | New Delhi, Oct 21 (UNI) Union Home Minister Amit Shah on Friday said that terrorism is the biggest violation of human rights. In order to fight cross border terrorism, cross border cooperation is very important, and for this Interpol is the best platform.
Shah said all countries must agree on the definition of terrorism and terrorist, Ministry of Home Affairs in a statement stated.
Shah said this during his address at the closing session, of Interpol’s 90th General Assembly, organized in New Delhi during the 75th year of India’s independence.
Today, terrorism is a global problem and it is very appropriate that it is the first and most important of the 7 global policing goals of Interpol for the period 2020-2025, he added.
Over the last 100 years, Interpol has become a very large and effective platform, comprising 195 countries, that has been playing a very important role in controlling crime across the world, he said.
India is one of the oldest members of Interpol. It joined Interpol in 1949, Shah said.
The criminal justice system is not something new for India. Whenever the concept of ‘state’ was introduced, policing must have emerged as the first responsibility of the state. The security of its citizens is for any state, its first responsibility, he said.
In order to control criminals, a justice system is a necessary aspect of any effective and successful governing mechanism. It is only justice that can ensure good governance in society, he added
The Indian government has established the National Forensic Science University.
The key pillars of criminal justice that form the ICJS (Inter operable criminal justice system) e-courts, e-prisons, e-forensics and e-prosecution have been linked to Crime and Criminal Tracking Network and systems (CCTNS), he said.
The Indian government has also decided to create a national database on crimes such as terrorism, narcotics and economic offences. It has established the Cyber Crime Coordination Center to combat cyber-crime in a comprehensive manner, he added.
"Today crime has become borderless, and if we want to stop this kind of crime and these criminals, we all have to think beyond conventional geographic borders," he said.
On the one hand law has to enforced within the confines of the sovereignty of nations,
On the other hand, we have to understand the global nature of crime, detect criminals and worry about justice as well.
In the midst of these challenges, to make the work of security agencies easier, the role of Interpol is very important and will become even more important in the future, he said.
The commitment to fight terrorism together, and narratives such as good terrorism, bad terrorism and small and big attacks, do not go together, he added.
"We cannot consider this a political problem. We must all be committed to ensuring that an effective fight against terrorism should be long term, comprehensive and sustainable," he said.
India is committed to working with Interpol to fight all forms of terrorism and to provide technical assistance and human resources.
"We have seen in many countries that the Interpol nodal agency and the counter terror agencies are different. Given this situation, in order to fight terrorism, we will have to bring together all the counter terrorism agencies of the world," Shah said.
"In this regard, I request Interpol to launch an initiative to set up a permanent mechanism for a real time information exchange line between counter terror agencies of all member countries," he said.
UNI CM SHK1815。8月22日,俄罗斯总统普京在接受采访时明确表示拒绝乌克兰提出的停火提议,而就在这一声明发布的第二天,乌克兰军队使用“火烈鸟”巡航导弹,长途奔袭900公里,精准打击了位于萨马拉的“进步”火箭航天中心。 自2026年8月以来,俄罗斯接连拒绝了三次乌克兰关于“黑海停火”的提议。第一次是8月14日,俄方的反应冷淡;第二次是中旬通过第三方渠道发出的提议,俄方依然不同意;第三次则是在8月23日,普京以“不可接受”为由,果断回绝了双方停止攻击黑海运粮船的协议。

三 | 首先,俄罗斯面临的最大困境在于,他们并不希望停火仅仅是一个形式上的冷却,尤其是在没有解决核心矛盾的情况下。普京与其团队显然意识到,若是达成停火协议,乌克兰可能借机修复受损的军事和经济基础,这将对未来的战局产生极为不利的影响。尤其是乌克兰目前在防空系统和前线兵力上都显得捉襟见肘,任何喘息的机会都可能让他们逐步恢复过来。 普京认为,自己有足够的资源进行持久战,意图通过消耗战来迫使乌克兰在未来的谈判中做出更多让步。他们信心十足,认为俄罗斯的核心工业、航天、军事设施不会受到威胁。然而,乌克兰对“进步”火箭航天中心的精准打击,无疑撕开了这一“固若金汤”的安全幻象。 乌克兰在此背景下的行动,表明他们也在不断寻找机会反击,以增强自身的谈判筹码。这次成功的远程打击,不只是在军事上给俄罗斯施压,也在政治层面试图向西方盟友发出明确的信号:乌克兰需要更强有力的防空援助,尤其是在面对俄罗斯日益增强的攻击力度时。 泽连斯基政府在这场冲突中的位置相当微妙:一方面,他们必须继续争取国际社会的支持,另一方面,必须在国内维持士气。在这种情况下,向国际社会展示作战能力,尤其是可以打击俄罗斯本土的战略设施,无疑是一种提升存在感的有效方式。

四 | 这既能强化国内民众的信心,也能在外交层面向美国等大国施加压力,促使其加大对乌克兰的支持。 正如预期的那样,普京毫不犹豫地选择了报复,8月20日俄罗斯便发动了针对基辅军工企业的大规模攻击,重点打击了乌克兰生产“火烈鸟”导弹的“燃点”公司。这一系列反击行动昭示着,俄乌双方目前已然进入了一种“相互加码、绝不让步”的战略死结。 这一局面对于双方来说均是不利的。普京的持续拒绝停火以及企图通过持久战来消耗乌克兰,却忽视了自己的战略成本。

五 | 俄罗斯的“进步”火箭航天中心被炸,使得俄军前线极度依赖的卫星通信和无人机指挥系统受到了影响,对于俄方而言,这无疑是一个沉重的打击。 如果未来俄军仍然选择继续轰炸乌克兰的工厂,而乌克兰则会更频繁地针对俄罗斯的军事设施展开攻击,那么战争的升级几乎是必然的。双方若继续这种消耗战,最终受到重创的将不仅仅是乌克兰,甚至可能连俄罗斯的战略底牌也会被拖垮。普京希望的持久战,反而可能成为他自己战略的陷阱。 当今世界,和平的呼声依旧响亮,但正如普京所展示的,停火并非易事。

六 | 相互之间的信任缺失,以及各自对未来局势的悲观预期,使得任何停火提议都显得脆弱不堪。 在这样的背景下,国际社会的角色显得愈加重要。如何在局势中找到平衡、如何重新构建信任,将是各方面临的重大挑战。无论是俄罗斯还是乌克兰,都需要寻找能够推动和平的路径,而不是仅仅在战场上摩擦与消耗。返回,查看更多。
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Published on:16:20:48
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